I've been seeing this regularly this week but initially thought it was related to https://issues.redhat.com/browse/OCPBUGS-36621. Now that fix is ON_QA and I can see the code is in the payloads uses by during this test (please sanity check that) I believe this is another problem altogether. The problem happened twice yesterday as can be seen here:

https://prow.ci.openshift.org/view/gs/test-platform-results/logs/periodic-ci-openshift-release-master-ci-4.17-upgrade-from-stable-4.16-e2e-aws-ovn-upgrade/1811401488027619328

https://prow.ci.openshift.org/view/gs/test-platform-results/logs/periodic-ci-openshift-release-master-ci-4.17-upgrade-from-stable-4.16-e2e-aws-ovn-upgrade/1811401482965094400

Component Readiness has found a potential regression in the following test:

[sig-cluster-lifecycle] Cluster completes upgrade

Probability of significant regression: 100.00%

Sample (being evaluated) Release: 4.17
Start Time: 2024-07-06T00:00:00Z
End Time: 2024-07-12T23:59:59Z
Success Rate: 89.59%
Successes: 241
Failures: 28
Flakes: 0

Base (historical) Release: 4.16
Start Time: 2024-05-31T00:00:00Z
End Time: 2024-06-27T23:59:59Z
Success Rate: 100.00%
Successes: 854
Failures: 0
Flakes: 0

View the test details report at https://sippy.dptools.openshift.org/sippy-ng/component_readiness/test_details?Architecture=amd64&Architecture=amd64&FeatureSet=default&FeatureSet=default&Installer=ipi&Installer=ipi&Network=ovn&Network=ovn&NetworkAccess=default&Platform=aws&Platform=aws&Scheduler=default&SecurityMode=default&Suite=unknown&Suite=unknown&Topology=ha&Topology=ha&Upgrade=minor&Upgrade=minor&baseEndTime=2024-06-27%2023%3A59%3A59&baseRelease=4.16&baseStartTime=2024-05-31%2000%3A00%3A00&capability=ClusterUpgrade&columnGroupBy=Platform%2CArchitecture%2CNetwork&component=Cluster%20Version%20Operator&confidence=95&dbGroupBy=Platform%2CArchitecture%2CNetwork%2CTopology%2CFeatureSet%2CUpgrade%2CSuite%2CInstaller&environment=amd64%20default%20ipi%20ovn%20aws%20unknown%20ha%20minor&ignoreDisruption=true&ignoreMissing=false&includeVariant=Architecture%3Aamd64&includeVariant=FeatureSet%3Adefault&includeVariant=Installer%3Aipi&includeVariant=Installer%3Aupi&includeVariant=Owner%3Aeng&includeVariant=Platform%3Aaws&includeVariant=Platform%3Aazure&includeVariant=Platform%3Agcp&includeVariant=Platform%3Ametal&includeVariant=Platform%3Avsphere&includeVariant=Topology%3Aha&minFail=3&pity=5&sampleEndTime=2024-07-12%2023%3A59%3A59&sampleRelease=4.17&sampleStartTime=2024-07-06%2000%3A00%3A00&testId=Cluster%20upgrade%3A2b2216bdf4b6c563428ce86dd8db4613&testName=%5Bsig-cluster-lifecycle%5D%20Cluster%20completes%20upgrade